小樣本的信息提取技術(shù)(全息調(diào)查)、問卷的定量測試與題目篩選技術(shù)、IBM SPSS Statistics & IBM SPSS Modeler的應(yīng)用研究、計(jì)算機(jī)模擬在調(diào)查方法上的應(yīng)用、大學(xué)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)與方法。

社會(huì)兼職

中國社會(huì)調(diào)查方法委員會(huì)理事、上海社會(huì)調(diào)查方法委員會(huì)常務(wù)理事。

學(xué)術(shù)成果

鄺春偉及成果簡介

華東師范大學(xué)社會(huì)調(diào)查中心主任，華東師范大學(xué)社會(huì)學(xué)系副教授。

主要從事社會(huì)研究方法、問卷設(shè)計(jì)與分析、統(tǒng)計(jì)分析軟件IBM SPSS Statistics 和數(shù)據(jù)挖掘軟件IBM SPSS Modeler 的教學(xué)、研究與應(yīng)用工作。

在美國蓋洛普民意測驗(yàn)(GALLUP POLL)公司兼職5年。

參加過近60個(gè)社會(huì)調(diào)查和市場調(diào)查項(xiàng)目，并負(fù)責(zé)其中近30個(gè)調(diào)查項(xiàng)目的數(shù)據(jù)收集、分析和撰寫調(diào)查報(bào)告的工作。

使用他本人提出的全息調(diào)查方法，針對最近七屆美國大選進(jìn)行了七次總統(tǒng)候選人得票率預(yù)測的試驗(yàn)。這七次中的預(yù)測結(jié)果與實(shí)際得票率的最大誤差為2.45個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。其中對2016年的美國總統(tǒng)選舉預(yù)測結(jié)果的誤差僅為0.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。這七次試驗(yàn)是在1992年至2016年的七屆美國總統(tǒng)選舉過程中進(jìn)行的。

2012年起，連續(xù)6年發(fā)布《中國大學(xué)錄取分?jǐn)?shù)排行榜》。

Kuang Chunwei

Director of Social Survey Center of East China Normal University.

Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, East China Normal University.

Mainly focuses on the teaching, researching and application of sociological methodology, questionnaire design and analysis, statistical analysis software IBM SPSS Statistics and data mining software IBM SPSS Modeler.

Worked in Gallup for five years as a part-time researcher.

Participated in nearly 60 social surveys and market research projects, and was responsible for data collection, analysis and survey reports writing on nearly 30 survey projects.

Have carried out the votes prediction tests of presidential candidates in the last seven US presidential elections by using the holographic investigation method that he came up with. The maximum error between the seven predictions and the actual vote is 2.45 percentage points, in which the error of the 2016 US presidential election prediction results is just 0.8 percentage points. Seven tests were conducted during the seven presidential elections from 1992 to 2016.

Since 2012, have released Chinese University Admission Scores Ranking for 6 years.